Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
