Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.