Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.93% | 27.44% | 42.63% |
Both teams to score 48.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.75% | 57.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.9% | 78.09% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% | 34.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.76% | 71.23% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% | 26.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% | 61.77% |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 85 |
2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 | 74 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 73 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
8 | GironaGirona | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 49 |
9 | Sevilla | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
10 | Osasuna | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 47 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
13 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
15 | Almeria | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 39 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 38 |
17 | Getafe | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 38 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
19 | Espanyol | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 35 |
R | ElcheElche | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |