Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
46.68% | 25.79% | 27.54% |
Both teams to score 51.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% | 73.82% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% | 22.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% | 55.77% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.37% | 33.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.72% | 70.28% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
2 | GironaGirona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | CadizCadiz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
9 | AlavesAlaves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Valencia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
15 | Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
16 | Granada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 3 |
17 | Mallorca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
19 | Almeria | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
20 | Sevilla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |