Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
49.49% | 25.2% | 25.31% |
Both teams to score 51.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.72% | 51.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% | 73.1% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% | 20.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% | 53.35% |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% | 71.76% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.49% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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