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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.13% | 27.21% | 48.66% |
Both teams to score 44.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.47% | 59.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.12% | 79.88% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% | 40.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.76% | 77.24% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% | 24.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% | 59.09% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.22% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 14.02% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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