Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
34.16% ( -0) | 23.61% | 42.23% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( 0) | 39.43% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.22% ( 0) | 61.77% ( -0) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( 0) | 22.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( 0) | 56.71% ( -0) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.97% ( 0) | 19.02% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.4% ( 0) | 50.59% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.41% Total : 42.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
4 | Woking | 45 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 79 |
5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 45 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 69 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 60 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 60 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 58 |
15 | Gateshead | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 56 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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