Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.05%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for York City had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | York City |
80.05% | 13.05% | 6.9% |
Both teams to score 46.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.45% | 55.54% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.44% | 6.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.58% | 24.42% |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.76% | 50.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.17% | 84.82% |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | York City |
2-0 @ 12.22% 3-0 @ 11.1% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.63% 6-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.39% Total : 80.04% | 1-1 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.29% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.68% Total : 13.05% | 0-1 @ 2.27% 1-2 @ 2.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 6.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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