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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Accrington Stanley
Exeter
5 - 0
Accrington
Mitchell (36'), Key (49'), Nombe (54'), Scott (75'), Stansfield (81')
McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adedoyin (44')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Accrington Stanley

With less pressure on the shoulders of Exeter, they have the freedom to push hard for the three points. However, Accrington will be eager to bounce back from a tough run of fixtures, and we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils with a battling performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
52.43%24.79%22.78%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61%74.39%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 52.42%
    Accrington Stanley 22.78%
    Draw 24.79%
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Exeter vs Accrington

Exeter City
65.0%
Draw
35.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-0
Accrington
Boateng (45'), Sweeney (86' pen.)
James (36'), Taylor (63')
Mar 11, 2017 3pm
Aug 20, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Exeter
Davies (70')
Pearson (24'), Conneely (59'), Beckles (85'), Hughes (90')
Harley (66'), Taylor (72')
Simpson (23'), Brown (57'), Taylor (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth44298778463295
2Ipswich TownIpswich442713493336094
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley442671176413585
5Bolton WanderersBolton4421121157342375
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln441320114444059
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers431410195568-1352
16Burton Albion431410195678-2252
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham441311204059-1950
18Port Vale441310214565-2049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441014204554-944
20MK Dons441110234062-2243
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Accrington StanleyAccrington441011233774-3741
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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