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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
44% | 29.38% ( -0) | 26.61% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 41.21% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35% ( 0) | 65% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.11% ( 0) | 83.89% ( -0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( 0) | 29.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.44% ( 0) | 65.56% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.48% ( 0) | 41.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( 0) | 78.01% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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