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AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
Bradford City
Carlisle United
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stevenage
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 3
Stevenage
Al-Hamadi (39', 74')
Marsh (53'), Kalambayi (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piergianni (55'), McAteer (61' og.), Norris (83')
Clark (43'), Sweeney (60'), Gilbey (70'), Roberts (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Stevenage

Despite their defeat to a higher calibre of opposition in midweek, Steve Evans's Stevenage side have been prolific throughout their League Two campaign, and we expect them to bounce back against an opponent in their domestic league. AFC Wimbledon will make life difficult for the Boro with their well-drilled defensive stability, however it may not be enough to stop a Stevenage side striving for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
34.89% (0.0010000000000048 0) 28.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.49%
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)80.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26%32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 34.88%
    Stevenage 36.49%
    Draw 28.61%
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Stevenage
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Stevenage
Appiah (1'), Wordsworth (28'), Garratt (68'), Egan (78')

Ball (23')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Pett (32'), Walton (69' pen.)
Francomb (35')
Oshilaja (18'), Fuller (75')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
1.30pm
Rune
Rublev
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient412412556272984
2Northampton TownNorthampton422014855381774
3Stevenage412013856381873
4Stockport CountyStockport4220111158342471
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle421914960372371
6Bradford CityBradford411914854351971
7Mansfield TownMansfield4118121165501566
8Salford City421991464491566
9BarrowBarrow42188164647-162
10Sutton UnitedSutton421512154247-557
11Tranmere RoversTranmere421411174044-453
12Swindon TownSwindon411313155250252
13Grimsby Town411313154552-752
14Doncaster RoversDoncaster42157204359-1652
15Walsall421118134242051
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe411215144151-1051
17Newport CountyNewport411214154347-450
18Gillingham421212183045-1548
19AFC Wimbledon431114184653-747
20Colchester UnitedColchester421112194047-745
21Harrogate TownHarrogate41915174961-1242
22Crawley TownCrawley421011214569-2441
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool42815194872-2439
24Rochdale4289253965-2633

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