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Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK at PPL Park
Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City
Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
62.68% (-0.522 -0.52) 20.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.51% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (1.097 1.1)43.73% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (1.064 1.06)66.12% (-1.068 -1.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.185 0.19)13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.379 0.38)40.23% (-0.383 -0.38)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (1.349 1.35)39.69% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (1.223 1.22)76.36% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.67%
    Orlando City 16.51%
    Draw 20.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.51%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Orlando City

Philadelphia Union
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
4pm
Davidovich Fokina
Paul
5.30pm
Schwartzman
Rune
6.30pm
Fritz
Shapovalov
7pm
Kecmanovic
Rublev
8pm
Alcaraz
Lajovic
8.30pm
Ruusuvuori
Daniel
Tables

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