The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Cagliari 1-1 Salernitana
There is no downplaying the importance of this match, even this early in the season. Both managers will be desperate to avoid defeat, which is likely to create a cagey affair, and we can see the two teams playing out a low-scoring draw on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
| 39.01% | 27.09% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
