Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
53.15% | 22.65% | 24.19% |
Both teams to score 58.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% | 41.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% | 63.68% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% | 15.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.5% | 44.5% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% | 66.77% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.68% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
3 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 |
5 | AC Milan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Roma | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Empoli | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
12 | Fiorentina | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 20 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 20 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 8 |
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