Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
57.4% | 21.51% | 21.09% |
Both teams to score 58.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% | 39.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% | 62.03% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% | 13.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.19% | 40.8% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.63% | 32.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.12% | 68.88% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 6.56% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.27% 4-0 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.41% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 20 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Lazio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
4 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
8 | SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
9 | Inter Milan | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Fiorentina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | SpeziaSpezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 8 |
13 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
14 | Salernitana | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
15 | Empoli | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
16 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
17 | Bologna | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
19 | Cremonese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
20 | Sampdoria | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 2 |
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