Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
60.48% | 20.59% | 18.93% |
Both teams to score 58.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% | 38.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.19% | 60.81% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.64% | 12.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.8% | 38.2% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% | 33.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% | 70.48% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 3.61% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.9% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-1 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
2 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
3 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
4 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
9 | Udinese | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 32 |
10 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
11 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
13 | Empoli | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
20 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
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