Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
42.47% | 24.48% | 33.05% |
Both teams to score 58.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% | 43.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% | 66.28% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% | 20.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% | 53.43% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.6% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 71 |
2 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 52 |
3 | Inter Milan | 28 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 48 |
5 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Roma | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Juventus | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 44 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 40 |
9 | Udinese | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 38 |
10 | Bologna | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Torino | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
13 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 19 |
19 | Sampdoria | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 15 |
20 | Cremonese | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 13 |
> Full Version |