Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
48.48% | 27.18% | 24.34% |
Both teams to score 45.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% | 59.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% | 79.69% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% | 24.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% | 59.06% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.69% | 40.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.06% | 76.94% |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 13.9% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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