Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.