Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cali win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.