MX23RW : Thursday, June 30 23:45:45| >> :60:1086:1086:
Apr 7, 2022 at 11.15pm UK at Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba
2 - 0
Melgar
Elton (78', 90+5')
Marcao (12'), Pepe (28'), Marllon (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bordacahar (21'), Orzan (38'), Deneumostier (45+1'), Ramos (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Cuiaba vs. Bragantino
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawMelgar
40.91%24.99%34.1%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72%68.28%
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6%22.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08%55.92%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9%61.1%
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 40.91%
    Melgar 34.1%
    Draw 24.99%
CuiabaDrawMelgar
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.91%
1-1 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.99%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.1%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Melgar

Cuiaba
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Melgar
0.0%
7

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