Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.