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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
Notts County
3 - 2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Notts County 1-0 Grimsby Town

Notts County should be eager to kickstart their campaign with a victory in front of their own fans this weekend, in what is the first EFL match at Meadow Lane since 2019, and we think they will be able to get the job done. Although it is still very early days, Grimsby Town have failed to score so far this season, putting in two sub-par performances, which they cannot afford to do against a side of the Magpies' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
52.53% (1.82 1.82) 22.83% (-0.414 -0.41) 24.64% (-1.405 -1.41)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.61 0.61)41.64% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.613 0.61)64.04% (-0.611 -0.61)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.871 0.87)15.9% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (1.577 1.58)45.14% (-1.576 -1.58)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.777 -0.78)30.38% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.937 -0.94)66.57% (0.937 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.53%
    Grimsby Town 24.64%
    Draw 22.83%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.096 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.296 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Notts County
2-1
Grimsby Town
Mackail-Smith (48'), Clifton (67' og.)
Stubbs (48'), Rose (55')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
4-0
Notts County
Clifton (4'), Davis (37', 66'), Thomas (88')
Rose (69'), Thomas (75')

Hewitt (75')
rhs 2.0
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Draper
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6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport27166556272954
2Wrexham26157454361852
3Mansfield TownMansfield261311245212450
4BarrowBarrow271310440261449
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe27138650401047
6Notts County27134106052843
7MK Dons2512674132942
8Gillingham26132112331-841
9Harrogate TownHarrogate27124113435-140
10AFC Wimbledon26109741301139
11Crawley TownCrawley27123124345-239
12Accrington StanleyAccrington27115114138338
13Walsall26106104039136
14Bradford CityBradford2798103436-235
15Swindon TownSwindon2897125054-434
16Morecambe259793842-434
17Newport CountyNewport2797113945-634
18Tranmere RoversTranmere28103154342133
19Grimsby Town27610114049-928
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster2784153147-1628
21Salford City2776143548-1327
22Colchester UnitedColchester2874173855-1725
23Sutton UnitedSutton2647153054-2419
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2646162648-2218

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