Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.