Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
61.5% | 20.56% | 17.94% |
Both teams to score 56.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% | 40.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.6% | 62.39% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.45% | 12.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.42% | 38.58% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.22% | 35.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.45% | 72.55% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.69% 4-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-1 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
2 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
3 | Marseille | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 61 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 58 |
5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
6 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 52 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Auxerre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Brest | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 28 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 |
18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 14 |
> Full Version |