Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
58.14% | 22.54% | 19.32% |
Both teams to score 52.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% | 46.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% | 68.99% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% | 15.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.09% | 44.91% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.79% | 38.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.03% | 74.96% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
3 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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