Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.