Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.