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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
59.32% ( 0.61) | 23.94% ( -0.29) | 16.74% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.56) | 55.81% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( 0.45) | 76.93% ( -0.45) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.44) | 18.61% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( 0.74) | 49.91% ( -0.74) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.39% ( -0.09) | 46.61% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% ( -0.07) | 82.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 |
3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 |
7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 |
16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 |
19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 |
24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 |
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