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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
36.88% ( -0.01) | 27.48% ( -0) | 35.65% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.39% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.73% ( 0.02) | 56.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.69% ( 0.01) | 77.31% ( -0.01) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0) | 29.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% | 65.32% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.02) | 30.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.02) | 66.24% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |