Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - October 3, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 3, 2020 at 9am UK at Hiroshima Big Arch

Asano (21'), Higashi (45+1'), Aoyama (56')
Nogami (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Honda (51')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
56.79%	23.54%	19.67%

Both teams to score 49.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.63%

50.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.69%

72.31%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47%

17.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.94%

48.06%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07%

39.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41%

76.59%

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56.78%

Sagan Tosu 19.67%

Draw 23.54%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.78%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.31% Total : 19.67%