Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
