Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
