Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
30.3% | 25.22% | 44.48% |
Both teams to score 55.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% | 48.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% | 70.41% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% | 21.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% | 54.84% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 54 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Rennes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Lille | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
9 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Toulouse | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Troyes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 19 |
17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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