Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.