Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
25.38% | 23.74% | 50.87% |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% ( -0) | 45.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( -0) | 67.4% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( -0) | 31.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( -0) | 17.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% ( -0) | 48.44% |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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