Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montpellier HSC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Montpellier HSC.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
42.26% | 25.31% | 32.43% |
Both teams to score 55.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.15% | 47.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% | 70.03% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% | 22.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% | 56.15% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 27.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% | 63.64% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
2 | Nice | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 15 |
4 | Brest | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
7 | Lille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
9 | NantesNantes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
15 | Lens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Lorient | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Lyon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
18 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |