Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
69.06% | 18.54% | 12.4% |
Both teams to score 49.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% | 42.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% | 64.72% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% | 11.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% | 35.61% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.35% | 80.65% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 4.8% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.78% Total : 69.05% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 4.01% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
3 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
9 | Nice | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 48 |
10 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
11 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
14 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
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