Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
38.16% | 25% | 36.84% |
Both teams to score 57.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% | 45.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% | 68% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% | 23.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% | 57.76% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% | 24.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% | 58.76% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 |
2 | Marseille | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 |
4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 |
18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 |
20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 |
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