Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lens |
50.12% | 25.33% | 24.55% |
Both teams to score 50.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.62% | 52.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.94% | 74.06% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% | 20.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.36% | 53.64% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.72% | 36.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.94% | 73.06% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.12% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
3 | Lens | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 69 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
10 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
11 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 41 |
14 | Brest | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 35 |
15 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
17 | NantesNantes | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
> Full Version |