Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
44.57% | 27.19% | 28.24% |
Both teams to score 47.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% | 57.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% | 77.94% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% | 60.31% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% | 35.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% | 72.49% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
10 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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