Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
39.31% | 28.47% | 32.22% |
Both teams to score 45.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.71% | 60.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.54% | 80.46% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% | 29.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% | 65.95% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 |
2 | Marseille | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 |
4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 |
18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 |
20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 |
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