Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
29.58% ( 0.12) | 23.03% ( 0.04) | 47.38% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 62.29% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.36% ( -0.14) | 38.64% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% ( -0.15) | 60.94% ( 0.15) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% ( 0.01) | 60.02% ( -0.01) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( -0.12) | 16.64% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( -0.21) | 46.48% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.34% Total : 47.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 36 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 94 | 34 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
3 | Woking | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 65 |
4 | Chesterfield | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
7 | Eastleigh | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 44 |
15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 37 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 36 |
21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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