Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
35% | 26.16% | 38.85% |
Both teams to score 53.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.04% | 50.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.17% | 72.83% |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% | 27.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% | 63.52% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.61% |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
2 | Notts County | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 96 | 35 | 61 | 90 |
3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 65 |
5 | Barnet | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 62 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 61 |
7 | Eastleigh | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 60 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 55 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 49 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 44 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 40 |
18 | York City | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 37 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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