Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
69.1% | 18.28% | 12.63% |
Both teams to score 50.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% | 40.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% | 62.94% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% | 10.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.5% | 34.51% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% | 43.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.59% | 79.42% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-0 @ 11.52% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.65% 0-0 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.96% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |