Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
