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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
28.52% | 24.13% | 47.34% |
Both teams to score 57.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.54% | 44.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.17% | 66.83% |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% | 28.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% | 64.8% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% | 18.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% | 50.41% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 65 |
2 | Orlando City | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 54 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 52 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 50 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 38 |
9 | DC United | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 37 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 37 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 33 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 46 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 43 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 43 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 41 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 35 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |