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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
56.89% | 23.6% | 19.51% |
Both teams to score 49.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.2% | 50.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.31% | 72.69% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% | 17.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.74% | 48.27% |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.65% | 40.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.03% | 76.98% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.58% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Toronto | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Dallas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |