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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
56.89%23.6%19.51%
Both teams to score 49.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2%50.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31%72.69%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.27%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.65%40.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03%76.98%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.89%
    Nashville SC 19.51%
    Draw 23.6%
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 5.62%
4-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.51%

How you voted: NY City vs Nashville

New York City FC
42.9%
Draw
21.4%
Nashville SC
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')
McCarty (45')
Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
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