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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
34.21% | 26.49% | 39.29% |
Both teams to score 52.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% | 52.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% | 74.14% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% | 29.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.94% | 65.06% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.21% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |