Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
